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91.
Dimitrios Damalas Christos D. Maravelias Stelios Katsanevakis Aristomenis P. Karageorgis Costas Papaconstantinou 《Estuarine, Coastal and Shelf Science》2010
Fish-habitat associations were investigated for twenty-five non-commercial demersal species in the Aegean Sea (eastern Mediterranean) using Generalized Additive Modeling techniques. Fishery related abundance indices, derived from experimental bottom trawl surveys, were linked to various habitat variables: substrate characteristics, area, season, depth, temperature and salinity. Depth was the most important factor for all species. Eleven species showed decreasing abundance with depth, while the remaining species were more abundant in specific depth zones either on the continental shelf or in the upper continental slope. Most species were associated with specific substratum characteristics such as the dry weight percentage of sand-gravel and the carbonate content. The dry weight percentage of sand-gravel in the sediments was selected as a predictor of the relative abundance of most (twenty three) species. Seasonal patterns in the relative abundance of species were observed, related in most cases to the seasonal differentiation of temperature. The effect of temperature was more pronounced in summer and autumn, when a marked thermocline is observed, while it was much less intense in winter. For most of the species, the preferable habitat was identified, that contributes valuable information for the successful implementation of an ecosystem approach to fisheries management. 相似文献
92.
Identifying wildland fire ignition factors through sensitivity analysis of a neural network 总被引:6,自引:2,他引:4
Christos Vasilakos Kostas Kalabokidis John Hatzopoulos Ioannis Matsinos 《Natural Hazards》2009,50(1):125-143
Artificial neural networks (ANNs) show a significant ability to discover patterns in data that are too obscure to go through
standard statistical methods. Data of natural phenomena usually exhibit significantly unpredictable non-linearity, but the
robust behavior of a neural network makes it perfectly adaptable to environmental models such as a wildland fire danger rating
system. These systems have been adopted by many developed countries that have invested in wildland fire prevention, and thus
civil protection agencies are able to identify areas with high probabilities of fire ignition and resort to necessary actions.
Since one of the drawbacks of ANNs is the interpretation of the final model in terms of the importance of variables, this
article presents the results of sensitivity analysis performed in a back-propagation neural network (BPN) to distinguish the
influence of each variable in a fire ignition risk scheme developed for Lesvos Island in Greece. Four different methods were
utilized to evaluate the three fire danger indices developed within the above scheme; three of the methods are based on network’s
weights after the training procedure (i.e., the percentage of influence—PI, the weight product—WP, and the partial derivatives—PD
methods), and one is based on the logistic regression (LR) model between BPN inputs and observed outputs. Results showed that
the occurrence of rainfall, the 10-h fuel moisture content, and the month of the year parameter are the most significant variables
of the Fire Weather, Fire Hazard, and Fire Risk Indices, respectively. Relative humidity, elevation, and day of the week have
a small contribution to fire ignitions in the study area. The PD method showed the best performance in ranking variables’
importance, while performance of the rest of the methods was influenced by the number of input parameters and the magnitude
of their importance. The results can be used by local forest managers and other decision makers dealing with wildland fires
to take the appropriate preventive measures by emphasizing on the important factors of fire occurrence. 相似文献
93.
94.
Christos Efthymiopoulos 《Celestial Mechanics and Dynamical Astronomy》2008,102(1-3):49-68
The analytical techniques of the Nekhoroshev theorem are used to provide estimates on the coefficient of Arnold diffusion along a particular resonance in the Hamiltonian model of Froeschlé et al. (Science 289:2108–2110, 2000). A resonant normal form is constructed by a computer program and the size of its remainder ||R opt || at the optimal order of normalization is calculated as a function of the small parameter ${\epsilon}$ . We find that the diffusion coefficient scales as ${D \propto ||R_{opt}||^3}$ , while the size of the optimal remainder scales as ${||R_{opt}|| \propto {\rm exp}(1/\epsilon^{0.21})}$ in the range ${10^{-4} \leq \epsilon \leq 10^{-2}}$ . A comparison is made with the numerical results of Lega et al. (Physica D 182:179–187, 2003) in the same model. 相似文献
95.
Zsolt Sándor Bálint Érdi Christos Efthymiopoulos 《Celestial Mechanics and Dynamical Astronomy》2000,78(1-4):113-123
The phase space structure around L
4 in the restricted three-body problem is investigated. The connection between the long period family emanating from L
4 and the very complex structure of the stability region is shown by using the method of Poincarés surface of section. The zero initial velocity stability region around L
4 is determined by using a method based on the calculation of finite-time Lyapunov characteristic numbers. It is shown that the boundary of the stability region in the configuration space is formed by orbits suffering slow chaotic diffusion. 相似文献
96.
Multivariate analysis of landscape wildfire dynamics in a Mediterranean ecosystem of Greece 总被引:5,自引:0,他引:5
Kostas D Kalabokidis Nikos Koutsias Pavlos Konstantinidis† Christos Vasilakos‡ 《Area》2007,39(3):392-402
This paper focuses on spatial distribution of long-term fire patterns versus physical and anthropogenic elements of the environment that determine wildfire dynamics in Greece. Logistic regression and correspondence analysis were applied in a spatial database that had been developed and managed within a Geographic Information System. Cartographic fire data were statistically correlated with basic physical and human geography factors (geomorphology, climate, land use and human activities) to estimate the degree of their influence at landscape scale. Land cover types of natural and agricultural vegetation were the most influential factors for explaining landscape wildfire dynamics in conjunction with topography and grazing. 相似文献
97.
Christos Efthymiopoulos 《Celestial Mechanics and Dynamical Astronomy》2005,92(1-3):29-52
A symplectic mapping model for the co-orbital motion (Sándor et al., 2002, Cel. Mech. Dyn. Astr. 84, 355) in the circular restricted three body problem is used to derive Nekhoroshev stability estimates for the Sun–Jupiter Trojans. Following a brief review of the analytical part of Nekhoroshev theory, a direct method is developed to construct formal integrals of motion in symplectic mappings without use of a normal form. Precise estimates are given for the region of effective stability based on the optimization of the size of the remainder of the formal series. The stability region found for t=1010 yrs corresponds to a libration amplitude Dp=10.6°. About 30% of asteroids with accurately known proper elements (Milani, 1993, Cel. Mech. Dyn. Astron. 57, 59), at low eccentricities and inclinations, are included within this region. This represents an improvement with respect to previous estimates given in the literature. The improvement is due partly to the choice of better variables, but also to the use of a mapping model, which is a simplification of the circular restricted three body problem. 相似文献
98.
Homer T. Mantis Christos C. Repapis Christos S. Zerefos 《Pure and Applied Geophysics》1980,119(2):213-230
Station records of ozone observations have been critically reviewed to investigate the reality of the reported maximum in total ozone over northwest Europe in July. The existence of a longitudinal excess of ozone over the British Isles is confirmed but strong horizontal gradients can be verified only over central Europe and there is no evidence for east-west gradients over the Atlantic. Ozone sounding data as well as total ozone daily variability make it most plausible that the ozone excess over northwest Europe is confined to the lower stratosphere. The isopleths in the region of strong ozone gradients are parallel to the mean flow at 100 mb as required by the calculated constraint on the magnitude of the mean flow advection. It is proposed that analyses of the ozone distribution over oceanic areas could be improved by extending ozone isopleths parallel to the mean lower stratospheric flow from land areas where the pattern is better defined. 相似文献
99.
Christos Siopis Henry E. Kandrup G. Contopoulos Rudolf Dvorak 《Celestial Mechanics and Dynamical Astronomy》1996,65(1-2):57-68
This paper summarizes a numerical study of the escape properties of three two-dimensional, time-independent potentials possessing different symmetries. It was found, for all three cases, that (i) there is a rather abrupt transition in the behaviour of the late-time probability of escape, when the value of a coupling parameter, , exceeds a critical value, 2. For e > e2, it was found that (ii) the escape probability manifests an initial convergence towards a nearly time-independent value, p
o(), which exhibits a simple scaling that may be universal. However, (iii) at later times the escape probability slowly decays to zero as a power-law function of time. Finally, it was found that (iv) in a statistical sense, orbits that escape from the system at late times tend to have short time Lyapounov exponents which are lower than for orbits that escape at early times. 相似文献
100.
该研究利用学术论文数据库筛选出中国鲤科鱼类游泳能力相关论文115篇,并用Origin软件进行了数据统计分析,旨在归纳和分析中国鲤科鱼类游泳能力并建立估算方法,可为正处于规划阶段和可行性研究阶段的过鱼设施流速设计提供依据.结果表明:(1)鱼类游泳速度与鱼体长度具有显著的非线性相关关系,据此建立了一系列幂函数经验公式,可为游泳能力和过鱼设施研究及设计提供依据.(2)依据所得到的经验公式和协方差分析可知,喜流水型鲤科鱼类的游泳能力>广适型>喜静水型.根据该研究得到的经验公式并结合行业规范和文献资料,对正处于规划阶段和可行性研究阶段过鱼设施流速设计的建议如下:西南地区以裂腹鱼成鱼为主要过鱼对象的过鱼设施进鱼口吸引流速范围为0.61~0.76 m/s,通道内最高流速阈值为1.28 m/s;长江中下游以四大家鱼成鱼为主要过鱼对象的进鱼口吸引流速范围为0.76~0.93 m/s,通道内最高流速阈值为1.49 m/s,以四大家鱼幼鱼为主要过鱼对象的进鱼口吸引流速范围为0.42~0.62 m/s,通道内最高流速阈值可为0.82 m/s. 相似文献